Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.53 |
| $0.790 |
| $2 |
| May 21, 2026 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No | sell | 4.26 | $0.910 | $3.88 | May 21, 2026 |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 23?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.859 | $2.68 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 23?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.930 | $4.97 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 23?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.979 | $6.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 23?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.890 | $1.02 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.966 | $3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.880 | $7.47 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.904 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.991 | $5.92 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.953 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.963 | $6.77 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.882 | $6 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?No | buy | 20.51 | $0.975 | $20 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or below on October 25?No | buy | 10.23 | $0.999 | $10.22 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on September 20?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.995 | $12 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.11K | $0.997 | $3.1K | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.59K | $0.997 | $1.59K | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.59K | $0.998 | $1.59K | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.11K | $0.998 | $3.1K | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.950 | $7 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.969 | $7 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | Aug 13, 2025 |