Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.380 | $3.75 | -$6.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 38.16 | $0.820 | $31.29 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 29.55 |
| $0.440 |
| $2.22 |
| -$10.78 |
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No| sell |
| 9.09 |
| $0.780 |
| $7.09 |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | sell | 32.94 | $0.921 | $30.34 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Yes | buy | 17.87 | $0.560 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.975 | $11.74 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.79 | $0.954 | $16.97 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 French election called by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.79 | $0.281 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.660 | $7.85 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 29.55 | $0.440 | $13 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.976 | $13.19 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.450 | $6 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.998 | $12.02 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |