Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 21.05 |
| $0.190 |
| $4 |
| Apr 28, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will the next pop be elected in 4 days?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.390 | $4 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | sell | 17.64 | $0.066 | $1.16 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.300 | $3.6 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 9.61 | $0.870 | $8.36 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No | buy | 15.67 | $0.319 | $5 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.210 | $3.5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.600 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.830 | $10.12 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.360 | $6.43 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Alaska by 6+ points?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.260 | $4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Alaska by 6+ points?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.740 | $3.89 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Nevada be the last state to be called by the AP?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Who will win young men?Harris | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Alaska by 6+ points?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Oct 29, 2024 |