Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | sell | 24.5 | $0.039 | $0.96 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.75 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.030 | $0.08 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.25 | $0.024 | $1.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.011 | $0.73 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.94 | $0.013 | $0.03 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.060 | $0.36 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.220 | $0.71 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.66 | $0.820 | $3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp | sell | 4.16 | $0.990 | $4.12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.015 | $0.98 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.006 | $0.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.007 | $0.49 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.004 | $0.02 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | sell | 149.99 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | sell | 2.63 | $0.570 | $1.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.006 | $0.86 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.009 | $0.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.120 | $0.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | buy | 261.25 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 31.5 | $0.029 | $0.91 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.008 | $0.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.49 | $0.033 | $0.12 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.033 | $0.83 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.019 | $0.57 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | sell | 1.38 | $0.760 | $1.05 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.080 | $1.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.014 | $0.21 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |