Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.198 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 34.48 |
| $0.040 |
| $1.38 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 66.66 | $0.540 | $36 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.630 | $42 | May 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 86.67 | $0.860 | $74.54 | May 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.1 | $0.860 | $12.13 | May 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 48.28 | $0.870 | $42 | May 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 72.5 | $0.840 | $60.9 | May 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.840 | $105 | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 210.21 | $0.520 | $109.31 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 210.2 | $0.490 | $103 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.160 | $3.76 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | May 9, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 36.84 | $0.110 | $4.05 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 36.84 | $0.190 | $7 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 116.12 | $0.925 | $107.39 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 116.13 | $0.930 | $108 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.620 | $20 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 133.69 | $0.955 | $127.67 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 133.7 | $0.920 | $123 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | sell | 125.2 | $0.989 | $123.82 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | buy | 57.29 | $0.980 | $56.14 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 20.2 | $0.570 | $11.51 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 82.63 | $0.540 | $44.62 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 20.21 | $0.530 | $10.71 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | sell | 11.05 | $0.970 | $10.72 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 82.64 | $0.470 | $38.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 43.64 | $0.890 | $38.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 43.65 | $0.910 | $39.72 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 43.64 | $0.910 | $39.71 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | buy | 78.96 | $0.964 | $76.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | sell | 77.64 | $0.962 | $74.69 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.012 | $1.42 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.010 | $1.18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.880 | $1.18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 44.99 | $0.870 | $39.14 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | sell | 26.62 | $0.874 | $23.27 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 26.62 | $0.797 | $21.22 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.39 | $0.370 | $9.02 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 527.77 | $0.013 | $6.86 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 39.84 | $0.230 | $9.15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 39.84 | $0.251 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |