Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 6.89 | $0.943 | $6.59 | +$0.09 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megaquake by March 31?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.960 | $1.61 | Mar 16, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.7 |
| $0.948 |
| $5.65 |
| +$0.25 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 3.05 | $0.950 | $2.94 | +$0.04 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.947 | $1.13 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 5.7 |
| $0.948 |
| $5.4 |
| Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 6.89 | $0.943 | $6.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.947 | $1.1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.950 | $2.9 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.985 | $1.44 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by December 31?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.974 | $2.2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.965 | $2.6 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.910 | $2.2 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.998 | $3.1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.995 | $4.1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.920 | $4.2 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before June?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.985 | $4.5 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.769 | $2.12 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Trump banned from Canada before May?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.998 | $2.8 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.983 | $1.5 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.920 | $4.9 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Megaquake in March?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.940 | $4.3 | Mar 4, 2025 |
 Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?Yes | buy | 80K | $0.003 | $240 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.985 | $3.2 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Mar 1, 2025 |