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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | Yes | 1.5 | $0.900 | $0.1 | -$1.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.82 | $0.485 | $5.73 | Mar 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.060 |
| $1 |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 2?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 2?Yes | buy | 29.51 | $0.155 | $4.57 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 2?Yes | buy | 19.71 | $0.172 | $3.38 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?Yes | sell | 32.4 | $0.180 | $5.83 | Mar 1, 2026 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.32 | $0.900 | $11.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2?Yes | buy | 32.4 | $0.152 | $4.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 2?Yes | buy | 104.06 | $0.096 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 2?Yes | buy | 26.45 | $0.230 | $6.08 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.910 | $9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.880 | $9.99 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.939 | $14.99 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.570 | $14.82 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 240.9 | $0.100 | $24.09 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 267.86 | $0.055 | $14.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.056 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.056 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 210.82 | $0.054 | $11.38 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?Yes | sell | 13.7 | $0.400 | $5.48 | Feb 19, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?Yes | sell | 35.7 | $0.268 | $9.58 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 210.82 | $0.047 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on February 19?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.59 | $0.043 | $1.62 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.79 | $0.210 | $8.15 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 19?Yes | sell | 27.98 | $0.260 | $7.27 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.59 | $0.133 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 19?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.330 | $8.25 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?Yes | sell | 26.95 | $0.360 | $9.7 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 18?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.385 | $3.51 | Feb 18, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.910 | $6.37 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on February 20?Yes | sell | 55.4 | $0.026 | $1.45 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on February 20?Yes | buy | 55.4 | $0.090 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 18?Yes | sell | 20.27 | $0.280 | $5.68 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 18?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.310 | $1.71 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the 2026 State of the Union have between 35M and 37M viewers?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" during the Black History Month reception?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" during the Black History Month reception?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 19?Yes | buy | 27.98 | $0.357 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |