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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 7.32 | $0.820 | $6.91 | +$0.91 |
 US recession by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.008 | $0.08 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.33 |
| $0.360 |
| $0.58 |
| -$2.42 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.290 | $0.38 | -$2.62 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.340 | $0.08 | -$1.92 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.200 |
| $2 |
| Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 26.85 | $0.020 | $0.54 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 67.33 | $0.021 | $1.4 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?Yes | sell | 88.23 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.41 | $0.610 | $3.3 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 10.07 | $0.880 | $8.86 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 12.33 | $0.949 | $11.7 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.53 | $0.055 | $1.46 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.939 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.820 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.740 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $215 before 2026??Yes | sell | 83.95 | $0.160 | $13.43 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.021 | $0.47 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.280 | $2.33 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.08 | $0.794 | $8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.730 | $9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 11.39 | $0.760 | $8.66 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 12.33 | $0.710 | $8.75 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.39 | $0.790 | $9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.33 | $0.730 | $9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 20.54 | $0.710 | $14.58 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 41.47 | $0.217 | $9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of December?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??No | sell | 4 | $0.840 | $3.36 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.836 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $120 before 2026??Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.260 | $12 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $215 before 2026??Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $230 before 2026??Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit $320 before 2026??Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit $300 before 2026??Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??No | buy | 14.46 | $0.830 | $12 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$400 in 2025?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.680 | $12 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.75–4.00 in December?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in December?No | buy | 9.23 | $0.758 | $7 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??No | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??No | buy | 9.09 | $0.770 | $7 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.97 | $0.032 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.035 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |