Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 306.21 | $0.074 | $22.78 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.093 |
| $3.72 |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 148.17 | $0.073 | $10.89 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.017 | $1.87 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes | buy | 158.77 | $0.015 | $2.37 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.012 | $0.49 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.013 | $5.2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 920.03 | $0.011 | $10.12 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 508.43 | $0.010 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.009 | $15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.210 | $10.5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 0.92 | $0.026 | $0.02 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.39 | $0.023 | $0.26 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in September?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in September?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.014 | $14 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in September?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.019 | $3.8 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in September?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 664.34 | $0.025 | $16.61 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $2.70 before 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.070 | $4.12 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.080 | $3.2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNo | buy | 110 | $0.090 | $9.9 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?Yes | sell | 259.62 | $0.047 | $12.21 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 "The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?No | buy | 186.38 | $0.016 | $3 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| "The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score 90+%?Yes | buy | 231.1 | $0.013 | $3 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| "Fantastic 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is below 80%?Yes | buy | 406 | $0.007 | $3 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.004 | $6 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?Yes | buy | 603.88 | $0.003 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?Yes | sell | 47.69 | $0.807 | $38.48 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.003 | $0.14 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 221.74 | $0.023 | $5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?Yes | buy | 47.69 | $0.063 | $3 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.020 | $3 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.084 | $1.01 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.064 | $0.64 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.140 | $3.89 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.054 | $1.77 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 677.6 | $0.001 | $0.68 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 44.12 | $0.320 | $14.12 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes | sell | 161.69 | $0.004 | $0.65 | Jun 29, 2025 |