Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.220 | $2.31 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 152.82 |
| $0.236 |
| $36.1 |
| Sep 8, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | sell | 164.09 | $0.220 | $36.1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | buy | 164.1 | $0.210 | $34.46 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 173.61 | $0.210 | $36.46 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 173.61 | $0.180 | $31.25 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes | sell | 84.47 | $0.370 | $31.25 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Yes | buy | 84.47 | $0.360 | $30.41 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 46.8 | $0.590 | $27.61 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.310 | $6.49 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.840 | $3.73 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.470 | $2.76 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 56.63 | $0.560 | $31.71 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 55.64 | $0.570 | $31.71 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 55.64 | $0.470 | $26.17 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 63.11 | $0.415 | $26.17 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 63.11 | $0.380 | $23.98 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 64.82 | $0.370 | $23.98 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 64.24 | $0.340 | $21.84 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 52.59 | $0.370 | $19.46 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 28.36 | $0.167 | $4.74 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.37 | $0.141 | $4 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.120 | $4 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 138.26 | $0.086 | $11.89 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | sell | 145.07 | $0.082 | $11.9 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2025?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.300 | $1.2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 14.72 | $0.750 | $11.04 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 145.07 | $0.069 | $10 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 415.13 | $0.048 | $20.04 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 415.12 | $0.041 | $17.01 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 414.86 | $0.041 | $17.01 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 111.21 | $0.140 | $15.57 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.125 | $15.57 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes | buy | 130.94 | $0.276 | $36.08 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.64 | $0.200 | $3.53 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 48.23 | $0.675 | $32.56 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 48.23 | $0.651 | $31.4 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.120 | $9.36 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 327.02 | $0.015 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 414.87 | $0.036 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 17-23?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will OPEC cut production by next meeting?Yes | buy | 125.31 | $0.120 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | sell | 27.67 | $0.053 | $1.47 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.120 | $9.36 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 79.99 | $0.106 | $8.51 | Jun 16, 2025 |