Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 33.91 | $0.988 | $33.74 | +$0.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.91 | $0.988 | $33.5 | 26d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 51.33 |
| $0.974 |
| $50 |
| 26d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 36.29 | $0.992 | $36 | 26d ago |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | sell | 19.45 | $0.965 | $18.77 | 26d ago |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 19.46 | $0.925 | $18 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 39.49 | $0.861 | $34 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on July 8?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $120 in June?No | buy | 50.75 | $0.997 | $50.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.13 | $0.997 | $42 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | sell | 61.16 | $0.996 | $60.92 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 61.16 | $0.981 | $60 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Solana reach $170 in May?No | buy | 28.08 | $0.997 | $28 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?No | buy | 23.59 | $0.996 | $23.5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 22.62 | $0.997 | $22.55 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $264 in April?No | buy | 22.75 | $0.998 | $22.7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 31.26 | $0.990 | $30.95 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?No | buy | 35.1 | $0.997 | $34.99 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?No | buy | 26.17 | $0.991 | $25.93 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 19.08 | $0.996 | $19 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 22.83 | $0.978 | $22.33 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?No | buy | 22.09 | $0.996 | $22 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 25.4 | $0.992 | $25.2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 66.09 | $0.991 | $65.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 25.41 | $0.984 | $25 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.993 | $19 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 21.25 | $0.971 | $20.63 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 21.25 | $0.966 | $20.53 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?No | buy | 35.39 | $0.989 | $35 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?No | buy | 53.48 | $0.991 | $53 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 56.06 | $0.994 | $55.72 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 52.47 | $0.991 | $52 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 51.68 | $0.991 | $51.21 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No | buy | 56.5 | $0.992 | $56.05 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 34.26 | $0.977 | $33.47 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 51.69 | $0.977 | $50.5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 34.27 | $0.963 | $33 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 34.24 | $0.993 | $34 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?No | buy | 105.84 | $0.984 | $104.15 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $290 in August?No | buy | 104.27 | $0.994 | $103.64 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?No | buy | 103.64 | $0.986 | $102.19 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No | buy | 76.87 | $0.984 | $75.64 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?No | buy | 95.65 | $0.960 | $91.82 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?No | buy | 48.66 | $0.942 | $45.84 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 25.19 | $0.960 | $24.18 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 20.77 | $0.963 | $20 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 31.53 | $0.985 | $31.06 | Dec 16, 2024 |