Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 9.98 | $0.802 | $9.38 | +$1.37 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 41.93 |
| $0.239 |
| $5.24 |
| -$4.77 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 4.55 | $0.440 | $3.64 | +$1.64 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2.63 | +$0.63 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 10.49 | $0.382 | $2.05 | -$1.96 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 12.51 | $0.160 | $1.31 | -$0.69 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.480 | $1.19 | -$0.81 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.580 | $0.79 | -$1.21 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 6.9 | $0.290 | $0.72 | -$1.28 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 3.35 | $0.600 | $0.65 | -$1.36 |
| sell |
| 2.61 |
| $0.831 |
| $2.17 |
| 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.2 | $0.110 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.900 | $2.33 | 26d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.080 | $0.29 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.12 | $0.021 | $0.23 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.600 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.438 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.069 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.069 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.36 | $0.459 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes | buy | 30.32 | $0.068 | $2.05 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.1 | $0.520 | $15.13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.09 | $0.490 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.210 | $2.63 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.160 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.150 | $1.36 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.540 | $1.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.42 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.780 | $3.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.44 | $0.530 | $2.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.570 | $1.96 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.57 | $0.780 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.790 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.573 | $1.93 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.595 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 10.73 | $0.560 | $6.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.34 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.34 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.34 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.580 | $2.07 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.110 | $1.38 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.13 | $0.420 | $5.09 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 10.28 | $0.570 | $5.86 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | sell | 22.23 | $0.014 | $0.31 | Jul 24, 2026 |