Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?Yes | sell | 94.02 | $0.002 | $0.19 | May 15, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 250.47 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.36 |
| May 15, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?Yes | sell | 202.44 | $0.002 | $0.4 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?Yes | buy | 122.22 | $0.008 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.005 | $0.26 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.013 | $0.37 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.010 | $1.05 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 173.01 | $0.013 | $2.25 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 29.32 | $0.034 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?Yes | sell | 36.49 | $0.011 | $0.4 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 29.98 | $0.033 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 22.49 | $0.044 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 13?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.002 | $0.29 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.001 | $1.62 | May 11, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Yes | sell | 315.39 | $0.002 | $0.63 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.001 | $1.32 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?No | sell | 636.38 | $0.002 | $1.27 | May 11, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 834.92 | $0.004 | $3.34 | May 11, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.086 | $0.94 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.56 | $0.170 | $0.95 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.63 | $0.087 | $1.01 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.016 | $0.94 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 16.57 | $0.060 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 29.6 | $0.034 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 211.11 | $0.006 | $1.27 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 249.39 | $0.004 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 12?Yes | buy | 41.4 | $0.024 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 13?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 69.67 | $0.029 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 27 and July 3?Yes | buy | 250.47 | $0.004 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?Yes | buy | 168.78 | $0.006 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?Yes | buy | 271.04 | $0.004 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 30 and June 5?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |