Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.994 | $1.36 | Dec 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 40.52 |
| $0.077 |
| $3.12 |
| Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.976 | $3.12 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 173.63 | $0.490 | $85.08 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 118.83 | $0.728 | $86.46 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 118.83 | $0.969 | $115.15 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 111 | $0.998 | $110.78 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 101.83 | $0.999 | $101.73 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 101.83 | $0.998 | $101.63 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 87.94 | $0.997 | $87.68 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 87.94 | $0.998 | $87.76 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 92.66 | $0.997 | $92.38 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 92.67 | $0.998 | $92.48 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 79.09 | $0.997 | $78.85 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 79.1 | $0.998 | $78.94 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.977 | $7.13 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 110.5 | $0.997 | $110.17 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 110.5 | $0.998 | $110.28 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 110.75 | $0.995 | $110.2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 110.75 | $0.996 | $110.31 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 103.4 | $0.994 | $102.78 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 103.41 | $0.995 | $102.89 | May 28, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in May?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.999 | $2.74 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 104.31 | $0.991 | $103.37 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.897 | $4.78 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 104.3 | $0.992 | $103.47 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 16–23?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.999 | $3.12 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 102.35 | $0.998 | $102.15 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 102.35 | $0.999 | $102.25 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 9.67 | $0.997 | $9.64 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 87.65 | $0.997 | $87.39 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.999 | $4.46 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 96.92 | $0.992 | $96.14 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will PFP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.998 | $1.68 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 96.93 | $0.993 | $96.25 | May 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.59 | $0.984 | $73.4 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 2–9?No | buy | 9.56 | $0.997 | $9.53 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $92000 on May 2?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.995 | $1.59 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 40.26 | $0.997 | $40.14 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.997 | $6.54 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 67.5 | $0.999 | $67.43 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 40.26 | $0.998 | $40.18 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 102.8 | $0.999 | $102.7 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Mason Graham?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.997 | $5.2 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 48.01 | $0.999 | $47.96 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 53.95 | $0.997 | $53.79 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Will Campbell be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.999 | $6.44 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.999 | $6.19 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 53.96 | $0.998 | $53.85 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.997 | $6.26 | Apr 16, 2025 |