Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 7.04 |
| $0.710 |
| $5 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.049 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.034 | $2 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 181.49 | $0.006 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 63.72 | $0.157 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 20.08 | $0.498 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 18.25 | $0.820 | $14.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.027 | $0.19 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.83 | $0.732 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | buy | 47.45 | $0.211 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.960 | $30 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.909 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.054 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.45 | $0.049 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | Jan 22, 2026 |