Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 26.69 | $0.749 | $22.12 | +$2.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.126 | $1 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 22.22 |
| $0.900 |
| $19.72 |
| -$0.28 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 10 | $0.953 | $9.68 | +$0.15 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 8.76 | $0.730 | $6.62 | +$0.23 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 5.41 | $0.370 | $1.59 | -$0.41 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.126 | $1.36 | -$0.64 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| buy |
| 7.94 |
| $0.126 |
| $1 |
| 4d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 4d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 26.69 | $0.749 | $20 | 4d ago |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.92 | $0.343 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.888 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 90.52 | $0.780 | $70.61 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.690 | $120 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 37.03 | $0.945 | $35 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.34 | $0.989 | $30 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETUp | buy | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETUp | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 13.39 | $0.747 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 3.18 | $0.910 | $2.89 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 2.8 | $0.900 | $2.52 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 2.43 | $0.830 | $2.02 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 2.4 | $0.820 | $1.97 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 2.1 | $0.830 | $1.74 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 1.94 | $0.800 | $1.55 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 1.93 | $0.800 | $1.54 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 1.8 | $0.770 | $1.39 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 1.66 | $0.780 | $1.29 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 1.44 | $0.740 | $1.07 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3PM ETUp | buy | 1.39 | $0.760 | $1.06 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 5.27 | $0.810 | $4.27 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 4.63 | $0.810 | $3.75 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 5.33 | $0.860 | $4.58 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 4.06 | $0.770 | $3.13 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 4.47 | $0.860 | $3.84 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 2.61 | $0.680 | $1.77 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 2.67 | $0.670 | $1.79 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 2.51 | $0.640 | $1.61 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2PM ETUp | buy | 1.93 | $0.610 | $1.18 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.73 | $0.880 | $4.16 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 5.02 | $0.900 | $4.52 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.62 | $0.850 | $3.93 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.22 | $0.840 | $3.54 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.67 | $0.880 | $4.11 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.21 | $0.850 | $3.58 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 4.16 | $0.900 | $3.74 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 3.82 | $0.880 | $3.36 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1PM ETUp | buy | 3.62 | $0.860 | $3.11 | Jan 27, 2026 |