Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.032 | $49 | Dec 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 49K |
| $0.001 |
| $49 |
| Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.024 | $100 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.043 | $99.9 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.006 | $30 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 183.49 | $0.054 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.046 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?No | buy | 16K | $0.001 | $20 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.297 | $374.48 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | sell | 106.52 | $0.960 | $102.26 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | sell | 500.25 | $0.036 | $17.87 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 338.98 | $0.750 | $254.24 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Assad leaves Russia before 2026?Yes | buy | 234.08 | $0.256 | $60 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Trump positive favorability on March 1?Yes | buy | 215.38 | $0.093 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| FDA revokes polio vaccine in Trump's first 100 days?Yes | buy | 500.25 | $0.040 | $20 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 18?No | buy | 210.42 | $0.238 | $50 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.027 | $50 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.006 | $50 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.006 | $50 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | buy | 106.52 | $0.920 | $98 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 338.98 | $0.590 | $200 | Dec 29, 2024 |