Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 6.29K | $0.682 | $5.44K | +$1.15K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5K |
| $0.890 |
| $4.37K |
| -$75 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4K | $0.495 | $1.94K | -$39.96 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 1.85K | $0.880 | $1.82K | +$189.71 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3K | $0.750 | $1.37K | -$885 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5.3K | $0.170 | $768.73 | -$132.54 |
| buy |
| 321.22 |
| $0.680 |
| $218.43 |
| 14d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 219.46 | $0.649 | $142.45 | 14d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | buy | 210 | $0.639 | $134.16 | 14d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 3.39K | $0.870 | $2.95K | 14d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.170 | $391.27 | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1.83K | $0.830 | $1.52K | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.650 | $1.95K | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.642 | $3.85 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.750 | $2.25K | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 120.26 | $0.650 | $78.17 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | buy | 21.81 | $0.910 | $19.85 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 264.62 | $0.640 | $169.36 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.648 | $1.17K | 26d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.3K | $0.870 | $2.87K | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.860 | $1.53K | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.769 | $7.69K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.769 | $3.85 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 3.35K | $0.767 | $2.57K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.777 | $1.87K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 647.31 | $0.757 | $490.01 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 3.45K | $0.200 | $690 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 450 | $0.560 | $252 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.540 | $1.08K | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.81K | $0.734 | $2.06K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 805 | $0.851 | $685.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 704.95 | $0.842 | $593.57 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.810 | $810 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 420.98 | $0.779 | $327.94 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 4.16K | $0.933 | $3.88K | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.878 | $65.87 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 199.12 | $0.870 | $173.23 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 185.22 | $0.760 | $140.78 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | buy | 131.47 | $0.225 | $29.57 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes | buy | 237.8 | $0.934 | $222.07 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 21.66K | $0.999 | $21.64K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 5.78K | $0.963 | $5.56K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 5.78K | $0.890 | $5.14K | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.349 | $380.85 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100.96 | $0.340 | $34.33 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 334.42 | $0.480 | $160.52 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.470 | $597.25 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 14.06K | $0.680 | $9.56K | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 647.58 | $0.670 | $433.88 | May 20, 2026 |