Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 105.8 | $0.756 | $92.58 | +$12.58 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 864.78 | $0.087 | $75.19 | 1d ago |
|
| buy |
| 249.43 |
| $0.140 |
| $34.92 |
| 1d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 178.57 | $0.210 | $37.5 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 276.21 | $0.139 | $38.5 | 1d ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | 1d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 339.14 | $0.140 | $47.48 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.780 | $11.47 | 2d ago |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.37 | $0.569 | $28.09 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | sell | 24.49 | $0.184 | $4.51 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | sell | 15.05 | $0.225 | $3.39 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.37 | $0.506 | $25 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 42.53 | $0.360 | $15.3 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.53 | $0.588 | $25 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | buy | 39.55 | $0.632 | $25 | 5d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.570 | $10.75 | 5d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.810 | $20.77 | 5d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 115.1 | $0.610 | $70.21 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 77.23 | $0.777 | $60 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 123.41 | $0.256 | $31.62 | 6d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 153.84 | $0.250 | $38.46 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.070 | $1.13 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 123.41 | $0.081 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 15-20%?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Under | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 115.1 | $0.434 | $50 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.38 | $0.808 | $10 | 6d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown | buy | 4.46 | $0.410 | $1.83 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp | buy | 5.18 | $0.170 | $0.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 9.66 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 19.27 | $0.480 | $9.25 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown | buy | 9.66 | $0.090 | $0.87 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | sell | 9.11 | $0.890 | $8.11 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | buy | 8.8 | $0.530 | $4.66 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | sell | 11.41 | $0.830 | $9.47 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | buy | 10.91 | $0.420 | $4.58 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | sell | 9.46 | $0.640 | $6.05 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | buy | 9.11 | $0.510 | $4.65 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | sell | 10.02 | $0.580 | $5.81 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | buy | 9.64 | $0.480 | $4.63 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 7.52 | $0.665 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |