Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 228.42 | $0.189 | $14.85 | -$28.35 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 240 | $0.500 | $120 | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 221.86 |
| $0.500 |
| $110.93 |
| May 13, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - April 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 259.6 | $0.500 | $129.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 227.75 | $0.500 | $113.88 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp | buy | 234.01 | $0.500 | $117.01 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 17, 7AM ETUp | buy | 396.95 | $0.510 | $202.26 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 11, 1PM ETDown | buy | 168.18 | $0.510 | $85.77 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5AM ETUp | buy | 195.94 | $0.510 | $99.93 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ETDown | buy | 354.12 | $0.510 | $180.6 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 6AM ETDown | buy | 417.57 | $0.510 | $212.96 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 228.42 | $0.189 | $43.2 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown | buy | 178.24 | $0.510 | $90.9 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETDown | buy | 186.47 | $0.517 | $96.37 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7AM ETDown | buy | 832.06 | $0.517 | $430.34 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 247.04 | $0.524 | $129.54 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 17.14 | $0.987 | $16.92 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 17.15 | $0.989 | $16.96 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.989 | $17.98 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.990 | $18 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.58K | $0.001 | $6.58 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 6.54K | $0.001 | $6.54 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 7.44K | $0.001 | $7.44 | Oct 15, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | sell | 129.4 | $0.974 | $126.04 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.8K | $0.001 | $5.8 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+No | buy | 129.41 | $0.977 | $126.43 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by November 7?Yes | sell | 133.64 | $0.990 | $132.3 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by November 7?Yes | buy | 133.65 | $0.993 | $132.71 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | sell | 130.07 | $0.996 | $129.55 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 130.07 | $0.997 | $129.68 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 131.52 | $0.995 | $130.86 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 131.53 | $0.996 | $131 | Sep 10, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 193.57 | $0.687 | $132.98 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 193.57 | $0.738 | $142.82 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.001 | $2.5 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 303.92 | $0.488 | $148.31 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 303.93 | $0.489 | $148.62 | Aug 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 297.24 | $0.500 | $148.62 | Aug 29, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 297.24 | $0.496 | $147.43 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 289.09 | $0.510 | $147.44 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 289.1 | $0.511 | $147.73 | Aug 23, 2024 |