Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 149.62 | $0.535 | $129.42 | +$49.42 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 84.76 | $0.354 | $30 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 85.01 |
| $0.588 |
| $66.73 |
| +$16.73 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 73.29 | $0.409 | $53.5 | +$23.5 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 64.52 | $0.620 | $51.29 | +$11.29 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 60.61 | $0.660 | $49.39 | +$9.39 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 49.54 | $0.606 | $43.84 | +$13.84 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 63.83 | $0.470 | $42.45 | +$12.45 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 48.98 | $0.408 | $41.87 | +$21.87 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 54.55 | $0.550 | $39.82 | +$9.82 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 74.07 | $0.540 | $39.63 | -$0.37 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.600 | $37.75 | +$7.75 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 40.95 | $0.733 | $35.42 | +$5.42 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.800 | $34 | -$6 |
 Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 85.86 | $0.349 | $33.91 | +$3.91 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 51.72 | $0.580 | $32.33 | +$2.33 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 42.25 | $0.710 | $32.11 | +$2.11 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 113.89 | $0.351 | $29.04 | -$10.96 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 30.77 | $0.650 | $28.46 | +$8.46 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 68.18 | $0.440 | $27.95 | -$2.05 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 46.51 | $0.430 | $27.67 | +$7.67 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.520 | $27.31 | -$12.69 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 84.76 | $0.354 | $25 | -$5 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 30.62 | $0.653 | $23.73 | +$3.73 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 95.24 | $0.210 | $10 | -$10 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 86.96 | $0.230 | $5.65 | -$14.35 |
| buy |
| 46.51 |
| $0.430 |
| $20 |
| 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.6 | $0.092 | $3 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | 4d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.52 | $0.048 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.87 | $0.376 | $30 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 50.11 | $0.599 | $30 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.25 | $0.710 | $30 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.27 | $0.043 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 40.54 | $0.989 | $40.09 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 43.47 | $0.979 | $42.54 | 9d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 70.42 | $0.991 | $69.79 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | sell | 51.72 | $0.986 | $51.01 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 64.1 | $0.979 | $62.75 | 9d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 70.17 | $0.968 | $67.92 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.720 | $60 | 15d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.12 | $0.525 | $20 | 15d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.87 | $0.734 | $30 | 18d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.520 | $40 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.660 | $40 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 63.83 | $0.470 | $30 | 21d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.780 | $30 | 21d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | 21d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 73.29 | $0.409 | $30 | 23d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.690 | $30 | 26d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | 26d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 48.98 | $0.408 | $20 | 28d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 30.62 | $0.653 | $20 | 29d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 40.95 | $0.733 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 85.01 | $0.588 | $50 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.25 | $0.150 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 49.54 | $0.606 | $30 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 54.55 | $0.550 | $30 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 60.56 | $0.450 | $27.25 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 60.44 | $0.316 | $19.12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 71.67 | $0.220 | $15.77 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 51.1 | $0.587 | $30 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 60.56 | $0.495 | $30 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.058 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.570 | $30 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |