Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 8.93 | $0.560 | $6.92 | +$1.92 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 9.62 |
| $0.520 |
| $5.05 |
| +$0.05 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $3.41 | +$1.41 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 8.47 | $0.590 | $2.8 | -$2.2 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| buy |
| 14.29 |
| $0.070 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.831 | $4.49 | 5d ago |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.076 | $2 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 17.77 | $0.281 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.860 | $15.35 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.82 | $0.041 | $0.16 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.955 | $2.89 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Sam Altman in jail by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.119 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.004 | $0.06 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 SBF released from custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.122 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.300 | $3.91 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.006 | $0.06 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.094 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.670 | $17.63 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 30.76 | $0.270 | $8.31 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.097 | $1 | Aug 11, 2025 |