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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.89 | $0.988 | $0.88 | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.74 |
| $0.064 |
| $0.03 |
| -$0.02 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.47 | $0.050 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 29 |
| $0.700 |
| $20.3 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.860 | $21.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.860 | $16.34 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.937 | $20.61 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 26 | $0.890 | $23.14 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.890 | $23.14 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 24 | $0.957 | $22.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 24 | $0.957 | $22.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.820 | $22.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.360 | $11.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.953 | $23.83 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.946 | $23.65 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 54 | $0.440 | $23.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 54 | $0.440 | $23.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 89 | $0.230 | $20.47 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25.74 | $0.064 | $1.65 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26 | $0.861 | $22.39 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 57 | $0.530 | $30.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 31 | $0.955 | $29.61 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.050 | $3.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 48 | $0.690 | $33.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 44 | $0.700 | $30.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 69 | $0.450 | $31.05 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 71 | $0.480 | $34.08 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 9 | $0.989 | $8.9 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 23.89 | $0.988 | $23.6 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.971 | $31.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.766 | $31.41 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 32.64 | $0.690 | $22.52 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.790 | $30.81 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.873 | $30.56 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.959 | $23.97 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.962 | $33.67 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 35 | $0.870 | $30.45 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.040 | $0.72 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 85.92 | $0.040 | $3.44 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 32 | $0.963 | $30.82 | May 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.430 | $17.63 | May 24, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.430 | $3.44 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.957 | $33.5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.947 | $29.36 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.955 | $3.82 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 57 | $0.490 | $27.93 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.964 | $25.06 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | May 20, 2026 |