Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.830 | $1.2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.44 |
| $0.880 |
| $1.27 |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.900 | $1.17 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes | sell | 1.67 | $0.980 | $1.64 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.760 | $1.27 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.922 | $1.15 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.970 | $1.22 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.52 | $0.770 | $1.17 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 1.37 | $0.995 | $1.36 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.710 | $1.08 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.994 | $1.37 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.958 | $1.03 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.969 | $1.05 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.992 | $1.31 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.993 | $1.32 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.840 | $1.47 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.850 | $1.49 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Pardon" this week (November 24–30)?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.860 | $1.34 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.540 | $0.82 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.999 | $1.43 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 470 million subscribers by December 31?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.920 | $1.21 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 19.94 | $0.999 | $19.92 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.994 | $1.43 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast hit 470 million subscribers by December 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.910 | $1.21 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.998 | $1.44 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.910 | $1.38 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.974 | $1.13 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.988 | $1.45 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?No | sell | 14.4 | $0.998 | $14.37 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.997 | $1.47 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?No | buy | 14.41 | $0.996 | $14.35 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | sell | 7.45 | $0.190 | $1.42 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.330 | $2.46 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.590 | $0.68 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.700 | $1.08 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.700 | $1.08 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.920 | $1.47 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.900 | $1.04 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.95 | $0.974 | $1.9 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.770 | $2.81 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.910 | $1.09 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.981 | $1.37 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.985 | $1.38 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.550 | $2.79 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.957 | $1.87 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 2.09 | $0.996 | $2.08 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend UFC 316 tonight?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.983 | $1.42 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?No | sell | 0.27 | $0.910 | $0.25 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.996 | $2.09 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.650 | $1.33 | May 29, 2025 |