Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 7AM ETUp | buy | 35.07 | $0.290 | $10.17 | Aug 9, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 10.27 |
| $0.990 |
| $10.17 |
| Aug 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 6AM ETDown | buy | 10.26 | $0.950 | $9.75 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 6AM ETDown | sell | 26.81 | $0.364 | $9.75 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 6AM ETDown | buy | 26.82 | $0.830 | $22.26 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $118K August 4–10?Yes | sell | 26.82 | $0.830 | $22.26 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $118K August 4–10?Yes | buy | 26.82 | $0.280 | $7.51 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?No | sell | 8.84 | $0.850 | $7.51 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?No | buy | 8.84 | $0.700 | $6.19 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 8PM ETUp | sell | 6.25 | $0.990 | $6.19 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 8PM ETUp | buy | 6.26 | $0.532 | $3.33 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion 10+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Yes | sell | 3.5 | $0.950 | $3.32 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion 10+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.580 | $2.03 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.640 | $2.03 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Armenia" or "Azerbaijan" 12+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.690 | $2.19 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10AM ETDown | sell | 2.36 | $0.930 | $2.19 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10AM ETDown | buy | 2.37 | $0.490 | $1.16 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?Up | sell | 1.18 | $0.981 | $1.16 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?Up | buy | 1.19 | $0.910 | $1.08 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4000 on August 8 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 10.84 | $0.100 | $1.08 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4000 on August 8 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.190 | $2.06 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?Down | sell | 7.92 | $0.260 | $2.06 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?Down | buy | 7.92 | $0.260 | $2.06 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 6.3 | $0.326 | $2.05 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.279 | $1.76 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Sam" or "Altman" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?No | sell | 91.57 | $0.010 | $0.92 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Sam" or "Altman" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?No | buy | 91.58 | $0.190 | $17.4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 17.71 | $0.940 | $16.65 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | sell | 17.2 | $0.968 | $16.65 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | buy | 17.21 | $0.968 | $16.65 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ETUp | sell | 16.81 | $0.990 | $16.64 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ETUp | buy | 16.81 | $0.750 | $12.61 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ETDown | sell | 52.55 | $0.240 | $12.61 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ETDown | buy | 23.83 | $0.858 | $20.44 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 101.73 | $0.201 | $20.45 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 9AM ETDown | buy | 28.73 | $0.708 | $20.35 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 101.72 | $0.200 | $20.34 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 203.44 | $0.241 | $49.02 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 7 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 30.9 | $0.005 | $0.15 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 222.13 | $0.220 | $48.87 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 7 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 30.91 | $0.220 | $6.8 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.024 | $6.79 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 222.13 | $0.218 | $48.52 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk say "Vine" during the August 6 AMA?Yes | sell | 46.67 | $0.010 | $0.47 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Tesla" during the August 6 AMA?Yes | sell | 14.47 | $0.170 | $2.46 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Ad format" during the August 6 AMA?Yes | buy | 32.63 | $0.625 | $20.41 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Macrohard" during the August 6 AMA?Yes | sell | 60.38 | $0.018 | $1.1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Trump" during the August 6 AMA?No | buy | 46.02 | $0.830 | $38.2 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Vine" during the August 6 AMA?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.700 | $4.01 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk say "Macrohard" during the August 6 AMA?Yes | buy | 60.39 | $0.149 | $9 | Aug 6, 2025 |