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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.78K | $0.999 | $3.77K | Jun 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 10.23 |
| $0.880 |
| $9 |
| May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.880 | $5.28K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.14K | $0.719 | $3.69K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 4.8K | $0.800 | $3.84K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.660 | $1.32K | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 16K | $0.790 | $12.64K | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 7.91K | $0.830 | $6.57K | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.930 | $5.58K | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.830 | $4.98K | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 6K | $0.910 | $5.46K | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.933 | $9.33K | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.52K | $0.383 | $3.26K | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.32K | $0.723 | $3.12K | May 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 3.52K | $0.670 | $2.36K | May 20, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.720 | $2.74K | May 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 3.52K | $0.710 | $2.5K | May 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.6K | $0.900 | $5.04K | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.21K | $0.390 | $1.64K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.47K | $0.378 | $1.31K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.33K | $0.770 | $3.33K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.83K | $0.870 | $3.33K | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 10.2K | $0.991 | $10.11K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 3K | $0.930 | $2.79K | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 4.69K | $0.790 | $3.71K | May 1, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.140 | $378 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.929 | $9.29K | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 5K | $0.999 | $5K | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.8K | $0.990 | $2.77K | May 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 204.66 | $0.820 | $167.82 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.892 | $1.58K | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 153.77 | $0.010 | $1.54 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.27K | $0.880 | $2K | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 248.04 | $0.870 | $215.79 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 957.18 | $0.896 | $858.07 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.012 | $16.31 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.497 | $15.45 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.630 | $40.95 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 5K | $0.890 | $4.45K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 441.06 | $0.610 | $269.05 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.73K | $0.220 | $600.6 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.44K | $0.640 | $3.48K | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.69K | $0.390 | $3K | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.94K | $0.591 | $14.14K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 229.21 | $0.580 | $132.94 | Mar 12, 2026 |