Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 55 | $0.920 | $52.39 | +$1.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.920 | $50.6 | 22d ago |
|
| No |
| 53 |
| $0.950 |
| $51.94 |
| +$1.59 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 19.25 | $0.750 | $18.39 | +$3.95 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 19.36 | $0.795 | $18.09 | +$2.7 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.46 | $0.790 | $17.07 | +$2.49 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | No | 18.48 | $0.711 | $16.07 | +$2.93 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 16.18 | $0.880 | $13.51 | -$0.73 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | No | 15.19 | $0.790 | $13.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 12.35 | $0.810 | $11.96 | +$1.96 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 12.16 | $0.839 | $10.87 | +$0.67 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 12.14 | $0.870 | $10.14 | -$0.42 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $1.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.190 | $0.39 | -$1.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 23.81 | $0.210 | $0.2 | -$4.8 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $0.14 | -$1.86 |
| buy |
| 53 |
| $0.950 |
| $50.35 |
| 22d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 12.14 | $0.870 | $10.56 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.037 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.215 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.545 | $3.63 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.174 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.313 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 11.94 | $0.167 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 15.69 | $0.127 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 12.16 | $0.839 | $10.2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.460 | $3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 15.19 | $0.790 | $12 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.680 | $7.48 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.470 | $5.17 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.110 | $3.63 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 18.28 | $0.180 | $3.29 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.140 | $2.94 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 15.33 | $0.460 | $7.05 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?Yes | buy | 21.33 | $0.090 | $1.92 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Brazil leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.270 | $1.75 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.740 | $3.75 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.780 | $3.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.580 | $2.95 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.860 | $10.35 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| South Africa leading at halftime?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.030 | $0.25 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| South Africa leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No | buy | 18.48 | $0.711 | $13.14 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 19.25 | $0.750 | $14.44 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 16.18 | $0.880 | $14.24 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.25 | $0.750 | $14.44 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.054 | $5.79 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes | sell | 200.5 | $0.075 | $15.04 | Jun 27, 2026 |