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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Guy Veillette win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election? | No | 3.04 | $0.800 | $2.14 | -$0.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?No | sell | 20 | $0.722 | $14.44 | 15d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.070 |
| $1.4 |
| 15d ago |
 Will Coco Gauff advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?No | sell | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 16d ago |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Yes | sell | 19.47 | $0.187 | $3.64 | 16d ago |
 Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.375 | $7.5 | 16d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?No | sell | 8 | $0.560 | $4.48 | 17d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?No | sell | 12 | $0.560 | $6.72 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 20d ago |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?No | sell | 5.29 | $0.510 | $2.7 | 21d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.807 | $16.14 | 21d ago |
 Will Wilson Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?No | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 21d ago |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 22d ago |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | 26d ago |
 Will John Krasinski attend the US Open Finals?No | sell | 20 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 29d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will "The Brink of War" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.025 | $0.76 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.458 | $9.16 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.31 | $0.510 | $6.28 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?No | sell | 20 | $0.147 | $2.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?No | sell | 20 | $0.088 | $1.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.500 | $27 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.501 | $27.06 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.140 | $5.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.290 | $15.66 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 23.98 | $0.680 | $16.31 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.534 | $21.37 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?No | sell | 36.67 | $0.670 | $24.55 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.227 | $12.69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.428 | $23.98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.445 | $20.92 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No | sell | 60 | $0.313 | $18.81 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 17.69 | $0.563 | $9.97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 2.31 | $0.590 | $1.36 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.310 | $16.74 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.301 | $9.63 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.440 | $26.4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.453 | $13.14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.475 | $14.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.713 | $14.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | sell | 49.9 | $0.610 | $30.44 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.630 | $13.86 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 18.04 | $0.630 | $11.37 | Jul 29, 2026 |