Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13K | $0.550 | $5.01K | -$2.15K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.630 | $3.15K | Aug 9, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 8K |
| $0.500 |
| $4K |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.280 | $310.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.56K | $0.280 | $436.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.735 | $1.47K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.735 | $2.21K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.82K | $0.735 | $3.54K | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.380 | $2.28K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.1K | $0.170 | $1.21K | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.560 | $1.23K | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.72K | $0.056 | $936.12 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23K | $0.047 | $1.08K | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.270 | $337.67 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.44K | $0.047 | $1.1K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.220 | $200 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.220 | $200 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin above $114K on August 20?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.390 | $468 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?Up | buy | 500 | $0.140 | $70 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.320 | $480 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.333 | $333.37 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will the fight go the distance?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.390 | $300 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?Yes | buy | 1.88K | $0.080 | $150 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.330 | $1K | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 909.09 | $0.053 | $48.18 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.649 | $691.06 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 500 | $0.710 | $354.81 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 500 | $0.725 | $362.46 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 500 | $0.740 | $370 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.220 | $200 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.270 | $250 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.545 | $1.2K | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?Yes | sell | 506.15 | $0.201 | $101.74 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.77K | $0.674 | $1.2K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.77K | $0.687 | $3.28K | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.640 | $1K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.600 | $1.2K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.56K | $0.780 | $2K | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?No | sell | 10.07K | $0.730 | $7.35K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?No | buy | 10.07K | $0.745 | $7.5K | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | sell | 3.87K | $0.330 | $1.28K | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.500 | $350 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 6 swing states?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.180 | $150 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | buy | 2.65K | $0.094 | $250 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.304 | $500 | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.96K | $0.303 | $1.5K | Oct 14, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.500 | $250 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.510 | $127.5 | Oct 11, 2024 |