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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.870 | $1.31K | +$7.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.880 | $140.8 | 11d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.04K |
| $0.212 |
| $612.76 |
| -$31.87 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.130 | $290 | +$30 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.071 | $26.5 | +$12.33 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.123 | $14.6 | -$10 |
| buy |
| 2.5K |
| $0.997 |
| $2.49K |
| 28d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | 29d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 15?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.993 | $1.02K | 29d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.234 | $234 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.65K | $0.995 | $3.63K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 860 | $0.926 | $796.36 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.790 | $45.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.850 | $195.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.230 | $103.32 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 194 | $0.071 | $13.77 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.067 | $0.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.123 | $24.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 57.32 | $0.710 | $40.7 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.6 | $0.920 | $41.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 42.13 | $0.994 | $41.88 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 42.13 | $0.989 | $41.67 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 16.21 | $0.930 | $15.08 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 570.2 | $0.010 | $5.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 429.8 | $0.011 | $4.73 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 32 | $0.930 | $29.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 499.59 | $0.820 | $409.66 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 2.97K | $0.007 | $21.09 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 93.99 | $0.043 | $4.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 114 | $0.043 | $4.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 336 | $0.016 | $5.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 385.8 | $0.019 | $7.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.020 | $1.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 362.55 | $0.947 | $343.33 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 369.99 | $0.910 | $336.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 403.34 | $0.820 | $330.74 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 403.34 | $0.830 | $334.77 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 405.76 | $0.063 | $25.51 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 220 | $0.064 | $14.13 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 878.4 | $0.018 | $15.81 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.020 | $20.49 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 702.02 | $0.058 | $40.48 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.061 | $1.22 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 282 | $0.060 | $16.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 328.4 | $0.065 | $21.34 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 379.29 | $0.066 | $24.87 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 308.98 | $0.069 | $21.23 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.045 | $1.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 27.88 | $0.046 | $1.29 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.18 | $0.075 | $1.29 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 119.75 | $0.074 | $8.87 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 147.57 | $0.088 | $12.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |