Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 153.85 |
| $0.013 |
| $2 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?No | buy | 168.07 | $0.012 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 100.63 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 268.75 | $0.160 | $43 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.38 | $0.290 | $14.03 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?Yes | buy | 231.68 | $0.086 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.310 | $15 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.190 | $15 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.370 | $5.44 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.123 | $6.39 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.096 | $5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 445.83 | $0.011 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 334.17 | $0.015 | $5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 363.44 | $0.014 | $5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Yes | buy | 187.11 | $0.027 | $5 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Did Ilhan Omar marry her brother?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Dec 21, 2025 |