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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 279.9 | $0.200 | $56.4 | +$0.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 756.97 |
| $0.119 |
| $29.9 |
| -$60.1 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 160.82 | $0.249 | $28.14 | -$11.86 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 90.38 | $0.221 | $12.2 | -$7.8 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 123.92 | $0.129 | $12.14 | -$3.86 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 78.95 | $0.380 | $5.13 | -$24.87 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $4.72 | -$5.28 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.150 | $4.33 | -$5.67 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 105.26 | $0.190 | $4.05 | -$15.95 |
| buy |
| 333.33 |
| $0.030 |
| $10 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 72.99 | $0.274 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 123.92 | $0.129 | $16 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 55.54 | $0.982 | $54.54 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.410 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Yes | sell | 101.45 | $0.157 | $15.97 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 90.38 | $0.221 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Yes | buy | 163.02 | $0.245 | $40 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Yes | buy | 262.4 | $0.191 | $50 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 179.07 | $0.279 | $50 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.057 | $210 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 32.14 | $0.560 | $18 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 58.48 | $0.171 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.966 | $42.93 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.084 | $5.44 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 356.52 | $0.056 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.478 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 121.29 | $0.247 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 24.35 | $0.411 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 67.89 | $0.760 | $51.58 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.184 | $20 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.177 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 521.47 | $0.019 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 401.24 | $0.125 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 50.89 | $0.164 | $8.35 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.115 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.65K | $0.019 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 123.44 | $0.405 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 50.89 | $0.196 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 374.81 | $0.013 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 87.56 | $0.571 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?Yes | buy | 184.21 | $0.027 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |