Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 150 | $0.060 | $9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 123.45 |
| $0.040 |
| $4.94 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.081 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 6 | $0.470 | $2.82 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 25.74 | $0.545 | $14.03 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 5.69 | $0.542 | $3.08 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.270 | $18.9 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 66 | $0.379 | $25 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.06 | $0.282 | $40 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 62 | $0.920 | $57.04 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.190 | $11.4 | May 27, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.080 | $11.2 | May 27, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 676.44 | $0.500 | $338.22 | May 27, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.44 | $0.086 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No | sell | 26.78 | $0.957 | $25.63 | May 24, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.650 | $40.3 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.260 | $15 | May 23, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.265 | $18.93 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.72 | $0.720 | $25 | May 21, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.210 | $15 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.910 | $12.63 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.890 | $19.34 | May 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 29.26 | $0.984 | $28.79 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 74.6 | $0.979 | $73.04 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 29.27 | $0.820 | $24 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 44.3 | $0.790 | $35 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.690 | $15 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 122.63 | $0.041 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 65 | $0.870 | $56.55 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.060 | $3.91 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.991 | $69.35 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | sell | 43.2 | $0.999 | $43.16 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 22.05 | $0.995 | $21.94 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.440 | $30.8 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 22.05 | $0.600 | $13.23 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.63 | $0.264 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.659 | $42.82 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 43.21 | $0.810 | $35 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.555 | $24.97 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 85.71 | $0.390 | $33.43 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?Down | buy | 150 | $0.013 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |