Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5.56 | +$0.56 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.26 |
| $0.702 |
| $10 |
| May 6, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2?Yes | buy | 19.97 | $0.474 | $9.47 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega100 Thieves | buy | 22.26 | $0.660 | $14.69 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "AOC" this week? (April 19)No | sell | 13.62 | $0.983 | $13.39 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.320 | $15 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.051 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.952 | $4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 10.26 | $0.975 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AOC" this week? (April 19)No | buy | 13.63 | $0.734 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Yes | sell | 33.91 | $0.888 | $30.12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes | buy | 273.26 | $0.037 | $10.05 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Yes | buy | 33.92 | $0.555 | $18.82 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.752 | $6.63 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.07 | $0.147 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.132 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.120 | $80 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 9.33 | $0.843 | $7.87 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 127.94 | $0.590 | $75.48 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 127.94 | $0.360 | $46.06 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 101.85 | $0.280 | $28.52 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 101.85 | $0.270 | $27.5 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.827 | $7.72 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Biden and Trump shake hands at inauguration?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.910 | $6.5 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Trump opens Arctic Wildlife Refuge for drilling in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 13.52 | $0.710 | $9.6 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.810 | $23.82 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 9.88 | $0.963 | $9.51 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.962 | $4.07 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione tweet again by Friday?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.944 | $4 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 9K | $0.010 | $90 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 7.27K | $0.013 | $94.47 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 7.27K | $0.011 | $80 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 215.51 | $0.377 | $81.25 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 215.52 | $0.464 | $100 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 3.82K | $0.005 | $20 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 1.86K | $0.054 | $100 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 1.46K | $0.003 | $4.67 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Vili Lehdonvirta as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 3.41K | $0.055 | $188.22 | Oct 8, 2024 |