Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 768.18 | $0.875 | $763.19 | +$91.19 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 100 | $0.755 | $75.5 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.878 |
| $484.75 |
| +$45.75 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.940 | $280.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 244 | $0.946 | $237.05 | +$6.22 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 211 | $0.944 | $201.61 | +$2.43 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 170 | $0.830 | $143.65 | +$2.55 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 150 | $0.880 | $138.75 | +$6.75 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 150 | $0.889 | $136.05 | +$2.7 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 150 | $0.830 | $129.75 | +$5.25 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 140 | $0.900 | $126.7 | +$0.7 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 147 | $0.900 | $121.13 | -$11.12 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 120 | $0.900 | $112.2 | +$4.2 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 120 | $0.677 | $109.8 | +$28.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 200 | $0.600 | $101 | -$19 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100 | $0.894 | $98.35 | +$8.95 |
 Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | No | 95.93 | $0.972 | $94.87 | +$1.66 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.650 | $89.5 | +$24.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.700 | $84.5 | +$14.5 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.560 | $78.5 | +$22.5 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 100 | $0.720 | $72.5 | +$0.5 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 100 | $0.630 | $71 | +$8 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 100 | $0.630 | $53 | -$10 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.590 | $47.5 | -$11.5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.660 | $45 | -$21 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.670 | $30.75 | -$2.75 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.600 |
| $120 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 170 | $0.830 | $141.1 | 5d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?No | buy | 120 | $0.887 | $106.48 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 140 | $0.900 | $126 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | 5d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | 7d ago |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | 7d ago |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 244 | $0.946 | $230.82 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 47.2 | $0.899 | $42.43 | 27d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | 27d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 27d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.680 | $102 | 28d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.598 | $119.6 | 28d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.900 | $108 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.969 | $77.52 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.940 | $282 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.889 | $133.35 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.582 | $51.24 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.976 | $195.2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 211 | $0.944 | $199.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.880 | $132 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?No | buy | 8.96 | $0.998 | $8.94 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $79.96 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No | buy | 150 | $0.880 | $132 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?No | buy | 150 | $0.902 | $135.3 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.720 | $86.39 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.932 | $93.2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in July?No | buy | 200 | $0.976 | $195.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.917 | $91.74 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No | buy | 400 | $0.960 | $384 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No | buy | 400 | $0.965 | $385.89 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No | buy | 95.93 | $0.972 | $93.21 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 100 | $0.894 | $89.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 150 | $0.830 | $124.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.900 | $135 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.710 | $106.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.880 | $132 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.680 | $67.99 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.774 | $77.4 | Jun 26, 2026 |