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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 5.44K | $0.550 | $2.48K | -$516.06 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.480 | $86.4 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.4K |
| $0.536 |
| $1.96K |
| -$402.89 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.2K | $0.864 | $1.88K | -$20.51 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 992.52 | $0.863 | $898.23 | +$41.98 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 800.01 | $0.813 | $692.01 | +$41.74 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.860 | $374 | +$30 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.920 | $374 | +$6 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 399.96 | $0.625 | $369.16 | +$119.19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 355.5 | $0.896 | $349.99 | +$31.56 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 400.02 | $0.778 | $346.02 | +$34.75 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 400 | $0.810 | $321 | -$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.745 | $298 | $0 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 400 | $0.745 | $258 | -$40 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.910 | $198.7 | +$16.7 |
 XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.640 | $186.1 | +$58.1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 200.01 | $0.645 | $183.01 | +$54 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.215 | $174 | -$84 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 200.01 | $0.820 | $165 | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.12K | $0.181 | $161.51 | -$40.83 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.108 | $117.6 | -$12.6 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 81.58 | $0.850 | $75.46 | +$6.12 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 64.58 | $0.790 | $58.45 | +$7.43 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 800 | $0.135 | $58.4 | -$49.58 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | No | 56.96 | $0.880 | $52.69 | +$2.56 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 247.48 | $0.702 | $49.62 | -$124.22 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.730 |
| $146 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.157 | $62.8 | 21d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.976 | $390.41 | 23d ago |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.173 | $69.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.205 | $82 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.071 | $28.4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.071 | $28.4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.103 | $41.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.061 | $24.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 393.38 | $0.055 | $21.64 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.619 | $123.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | sell | 5.4 | $0.290 | $1.57 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 21.2 | $0.340 | $7.21 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | sell | 1.83K | $0.050 | $91.57 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.300 | $180 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 189.88 | $0.861 | $163.41 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 259.91 | $0.510 | $132.55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 97.42 | $0.800 | $77.94 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.001 | $1.06 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.310 | $1 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 61.03 | $0.170 | $10.38 | May 22, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | sell | 57.54 | $0.020 | $1.15 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 460.85 | $0.010 | $4.61 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.257 | $7.45 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.260 | $8.58 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | May 16, 2026 |