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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 14.49 |
| $0.720 |
| $10.43 |
| Jan 9, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 3?Yes | buy | 109.45 | $0.046 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp | sell | 15.15 | $0.790 | $11.97 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.066 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4AM ETUp | buy | 73.07 | $0.068 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.252 | $10.06 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 11, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 50.91 | $0.098 | $5 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by December 31?No | buy | 22.19 | $0.451 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.930 | $11.92 | Sep 22, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.060 | $9.23 | Sep 22, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?No | buy | 210.42 | $0.048 | $10 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 103.44 | $0.996 | $103.03 | Aug 31, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 48.56 | $0.103 | $5 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 111.58 | $0.018 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12PM ETDown | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?No | sell | 16.29 | $0.800 | $13.03 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Jul 22, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3PM ETDown | sell | 40.81 | $0.990 | $40.4 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3PM ETDown | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2PM ETDown | sell | 2.56 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2PM ETDown | sell | 2.56 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2PM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1PM ETDown | sell | 5.2 | $0.999 | $5.19 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2PM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| sell | 9.52 | $0.340 | $3.24 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jul 20, 2025 |