Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 90.36 | $0.830 | $78.16 | +$3.16 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 11.5 | $0.960 | $11.04 | Feb 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 90.36 |
| $0.830 |
| $75 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 86.26 | $0.947 | $81.69 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 81.69 | $0.918 | $75 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $400M and $600M?Yes | buy | 74.69 | $0.350 | $26.14 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.430 | $32.25 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 58.39 | $0.888 | $51.85 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 426 | $0.320 | $136.32 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 78.1 | $0.020 | $1.56 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.018 | $0.4 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?Yes | sell | 277.4 | $0.002 | $0.52 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 195 | $0.190 | $37.05 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?Yes | buy | 21.4 | $0.880 | $18.83 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?Yes | buy | 21.4 | $0.120 | $2.57 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?Yes | buy | 22.09 | $0.863 | $19.06 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.880 | $198.88 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Cuomo x Mamdani not debate before election?Yes | buy | 226 | $0.110 | $24.86 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on September 5?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.007 | $1.68 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $118K on September 5?No | buy | 240 | $0.993 | $238.32 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $4100 on August 25?Yes | buy | 274 | $0.650 | $178 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4100 on August 25?Yes | buy | 274 | $0.340 | $93.16 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.98 | $0.987 | $4.92 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 267 | $0.035 | $9.24 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 267 | $0.141 | $37.65 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 267 | $0.699 | $186.61 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 267 | $0.091 | $24.21 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 267 | $0.018 | $4.89 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 260 | $0.810 | $210.5 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.005 | $1.2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.015 | $3.97 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.140 | $36.4 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 259 | $0.413 | $106.97 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 259 | $0.584 | $151.26 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 255.69 | $0.998 | $255.18 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?Yes | buy | 255.19 | $0.996 | $254.12 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No | buy | 254.11 | $0.999 | $253.86 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?No | buy | 28.87 | $0.690 | $19.92 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 244.99 | $0.998 | $244.5 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 437.38 | $0.559 | $244.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 437.38 | $0.584 | $255.43 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 658.34 | $0.337 | $221.86 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 75.22 | $0.998 | $75.07 | Oct 29, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 436.87 | $0.336 | $146.79 | Oct 29, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 436.87 | $0.419 | $183.05 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 75.23 | $0.997 | $75 | Oct 15, 2024 |