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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | No | 87 | $0.860 | $74.39 | -$0.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 87 | $0.860 | $74.82 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.910 |
| $18.5 |
| +$0.3 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13.24 | $0.710 | $10.13 | +$0.73 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 20 | $0.510 | $9.9 | -$0.3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 20 | $0.360 | $7.1 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.910 |
| $18.2 |
| 1d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 1d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | 1d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 101.35 | $0.998 | $101.15 | 1d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.950 | $13 | 9d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.24 | $0.710 | $9.4 | 9d ago |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | sell | 14.55 | $0.660 | $9.6 | 9d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 14.55 | $0.670 | $9.75 | 9d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 13.15 | $0.890 | $11.7 | 14d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.996 | $11.44 | 14d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 101.36 | $0.957 | $97 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.930 | $9.2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 15.16 | $0.910 | $13.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 116.5 | $0.988 | $115.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 77.03 | $0.740 | $57 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 57.02 | $0.997 | $56.85 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 17.02 | $0.940 | $16 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.760 | $30 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 28.85 | $0.979 | $28.24 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.991 | $7.93 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.999 | $13.14 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.87 | $0.919 | $15.5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 15.47 | $0.950 | $14.7 | May 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 14.13 | $0.993 | $14.03 | May 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?No | sell | 14.97 | $0.995 | $14.9 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?No | buy | 14.95 | $0.959 | $14.34 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 8 | $0.780 | $6.24 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 6 | $0.890 | $5.34 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | sell | 6.89 | $0.953 | $6.57 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.992 | $11.9 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.850 | $10.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.998 | $6.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 7.38 | $0.133 | $0.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.150 | $0.26 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.880 | $7.04 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 28.85 | $0.810 | $23.37 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 32.82 | $0.998 | $32.75 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.927 | $6.49 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 32.82 | $0.031 | $1.03 | Mar 28, 2026 |