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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 40.57 | $0.220 | $6.15 | -$2.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 9d ago |
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| Yes |
| 34.82 |
| $0.258 |
| $5.05 |
| -$3.95 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 83.79 | $0.230 | $5.03 | -$14.25 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 73.86 | $0.095 | $4.8 | -$2.2 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.81 | $0.270 | $4.22 | +$0.22 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 41.4 | $0.128 | $3.93 | -$1.39 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 287.93 | $0.017 | $3.6 | -$1.4 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.05 | $0.199 | $3.31 | -$0.69 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $2.79 | -$2.21 |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $2.7 | -$0.3 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 23.08 | $0.130 | $2.54 | -$0.46 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 8 | $0.250 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 13.64 | $0.220 | $1.84 | -$1.16 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $1.37 | -$3.63 |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $0.74 | -$1.26 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.010 | $0.3 | -$1.7 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | Yes | 29.54 | $0.065 | $0.19 | -$1.72 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 8.7 | $0.230 | $0.15 | -$1.85 |
| buy |
| 14.81 |
| $0.270 |
| $4 |
| 9d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 9d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 9d ago |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | 12d ago |
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 12d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 12d ago |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 12d ago |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.020 | $1.82 | 13d ago |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | 13d ago |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | 13d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | 13d ago |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 13d ago |
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on August 23?Yes | buy | 46.97 | $0.021 | $1 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 16d ago |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | 20d ago |
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | 24d ago |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 24d ago |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 24d ago |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | 24d ago |
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 24d ago |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | 27d ago |
Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | 27d ago |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.013 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.211 | $2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 82.45 | $0.012 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.310 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.120 | $4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 78.43 | $0.051 | $4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jul 14, 2026 |