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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.17 | $0.830 | $11.76 | +$1.66 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 1.15 |
| $0.870 |
| $1.15 |
| +$0.15 |
| buy |
| 12.17 |
| $0.830 |
| $10.1 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.884 | $13 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.992 | $1.85 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Bloc Républicain (BR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.985 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.831 | $2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.999 | $9.84 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.442 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Ye banned on X before July?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.910 | $1.2 | May 18, 2025 |
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Israel in May?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
US military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.995 | $1.15 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 11.57 | $0.890 | $10.3 | Feb 9, 2025 |
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.854 | $2 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.680 | $2.1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.950 | $1.11 | Jan 8, 2025 |
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Megaquake in January?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.050 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.080 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.100 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Aleo airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 0.51 | $0.982 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 5-6 times Dec 6-13?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.006 | $0.18 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 6-13?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.010 | $0.23 | Dec 10, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.690 | $0.7 | Dec 1, 2024 |
Diddy released from custody before December?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.880 | $1.1 | Nov 25, 2024 |