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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 23K | $0.844 | $22.11K | +$2.7K |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | sell | 1.7K | $0.973 | $1.65K | Jul 30, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.870 |
| $1.87K |
| +$130 |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.790 | $1.16K | -$419.9 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 999.97 | $0.680 | $904.97 | +$224.99 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 899.97 | $0.790 | $778.48 | +$67.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4K | $0.172 | $286 | -$402.99 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 299.99 | $0.930 | $284.24 | +$5.25 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.690 | $145 | -$545 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 90.51 | $0.901 | $87.02 | +$5.48 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.150 | $2.45 | -$12.55 |
| buy |
| 93 |
| $0.789 |
| $73.37 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.940 | $65.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.941 | $940.55 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.840 | $1.68K | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | sell | 24.64 | $0.990 | $24.39 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 24.28 | $0.400 | $9.71 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp | sell | 143.7 | $0.990 | $142.26 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp | buy | 142.03 | $0.688 | $97.69 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp | buy | 107.3 | $0.930 | $99.79 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp | buy | 5.39 | $0.925 | $4.99 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp | buy | 8.16 | $0.720 | $5.88 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | sell | 9.99 | $0.990 | $9.89 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 800 | $0.950 | $760 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 5K | $0.860 | $4.3K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.900 | $1.08K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.878 | $36 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 16.5 | $0.930 | $15.35 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 294.24 | $0.954 | $280.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 2K | $0.820 | $1.64K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 3K | $0.860 | $2.58K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.800 | $1.6K | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 155.86 | $0.940 | $146.52 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.910 | $1.82K | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US bank failure by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.988 | $395.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| US bank failure by December 31?No | buy | 244.89 | $0.986 | $241.41 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 249.28 | $0.940 | $234.32 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 456.08 | $0.911 | $415.45 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.820 | $11.27 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 33 | $0.820 | $27.06 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.979 | $19.58 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.960 | $963.62 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 'Tinder for kids' removed from App Store?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.850 | $510 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.650 | $650.23 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.900 | $1.2K | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.896 | $986.01 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?No | buy | 600 | $0.895 | $536.9 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?No | buy | 400 | $0.892 | $356.79 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.940 | $1.88K | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 296 | $0.920 | $272.32 | Dec 1, 2025 |