Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 162 | $0.470 | $80.19 | +$4.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.700 | $10.5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 95 |
| $0.460 |
| $50.83 |
| +$7.13 |
 Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | Yes | 58 | $0.910 | $33.06 | -$19.72 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 18 | $0.730 | $16.38 | +$3.24 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 98 | $0.220 | $7.35 | -$14.21 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18 | $0.260 | $1.62 | -$3.06 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.750 | $0.96 | -$2.04 |
 Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 1 | $0.750 | $0.07 | -$0.69 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.25 | $0.220 | $0.02 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 215 |
| $0.790 |
| $169.85 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?No | buy | 157 | $0.700 | $109.9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | sell | 645 | $0.400 | $258 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | buy | 645 | $0.440 | $283.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | sell | 678 | $0.740 | $501.72 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No | buy | 678 | $0.750 | $508.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 384 | $0.160 | $61.44 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | sell | 879 | $0.280 | $246.12 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 384 | $0.150 | $57.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | sell | 434 | $0.384 | $166.66 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.660 | $23.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?No | buy | 879 | $0.270 | $237.33 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?No | sell | 299 | $0.860 | $257.14 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | sell | 880 | $0.850 | $748 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 880 | $0.860 | $756.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.540 | $5.94 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?No | sell | 108 | $0.380 | $41.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027?No | sell | 44 | $0.690 | $30.36 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.120 | $8.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?No | buy | 108 | $0.380 | $41.04 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?No | buy | 324 | $0.185 | $59.94 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 397 | $0.750 | $297.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 397 | $0.750 | $297.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 434 | $0.382 | $165.79 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?No | sell | 445 | $0.780 | $347.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?No | buy | 445 | $0.830 | $369.35 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 418 | $0.620 | $259.16 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No | buy | 51 | $0.860 | $43.86 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 418 | $0.620 | $259.16 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 233 | $0.730 | $170.09 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Celonis IPO before 2027?No | buy | 44 | $0.700 | $30.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 589 | $0.590 | $347.51 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?No | sell | 198 | $0.836 | $165.53 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?No | sell | 435 | $0.230 | $100.05 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k?No | buy | 198 | $0.858 | $169.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" this week? (January 11)No | sell | 415 | $0.820 | $340.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.610 | $12.81 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.650 | $22.75 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No | sell | 359 | $0.740 | $265.66 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?No | buy | 359 | $0.750 | $269.25 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?No | sell | 717 | $0.150 | $107.55 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" this week? (January 11)No | buy | 415 | $0.860 | $356.9 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?No | buy | 717 | $0.170 | $121.89 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?No | sell | 135 | $0.300 | $40.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 121 | $0.470 | $56.87 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 94 | $0.530 | $49.82 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 558 | $0.470 | $262.26 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 589 | $0.610 | $359.29 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 94 | $0.520 | $48.88 | Jan 9, 2026 |