Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 4.67 | $0.375 | $3.94 | +$2.19 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Under | sell | 1 | $0.210 | $0.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4.52 |
| $0.779 |
| $3.44 |
| -$0.09 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 3.33 | $0.700 | $3.1 | +$0.77 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? | Yes | 1.81 | $0.580 | $1.81 | +$0.76 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 2.45 | $0.550 | $1.57 | +$0.22 |
 Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? | Yes | 2.21 | $0.560 | $1.16 | -$0.08 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 1.55 | $0.651 | $0.91 | -$0.1 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 0.84 | $0.600 | $0.82 | +$0.32 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | No | 0.76 | $0.875 | $0.73 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? | No | 0.9 | $0.700 | $0.68 | +$0.05 |
 Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? | No | 0.64 | $0.319 | $0.48 | +$0.28 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 0.56 | $0.680 | $0.43 | +$0.04 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 2.38 | $0.580 | $0.42 | -$0.96 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? | No | 0.54 | $0.640 | $0.39 | +$0.05 |
 SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 0.48 | $0.620 | $0.35 | +$0.05 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.79 | $0.860 | $0.27 | -$0.41 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | No | 0.99 | $0.770 | $0.21 | -$0.55 |
 Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.46 | $0.090 | $0.16 | -$0.24 |
 Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 0.46 | $0.470 | $0.16 | -$0.06 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.570 | $0.15 | -$0.69 |
 Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 0.19 | $0.868 | $0.11 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.26 | $0.260 | $0.1 | +$0.04 |
 Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.17 | $0.671 | $0.09 | -$0.03 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | 0.63 | $0.576 | $0.08 | -$0.28 |
 Will Eternal Fire Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | Yes | 6.12 | $0.550 | $0.04 | -$3.33 |
| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.250 |
| $0.25 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
 ECS England: Apex CC vs Comilla Warriors (ENG)Apex CC | sell | 1 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over | sell | 1 | $0.260 | $0.26 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 1 | $0.210 | $0.21 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 BNB Up or Down - August 4, 9PM ETUp | sell | 2.5 | $0.700 | $1.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Llaneros FC vs. Fortaleza CEIF: O/U 3.5Over | sell | 1 | $0.530 | $0.53 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Over | sell | 2.4 | $0.770 | $1.85 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?No | sell | 1 | $0.540 | $0.54 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.530 | $0.53 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 0.5Over | sell | 2.4 | $0.720 | $1.73 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Rainbow Six Siege: MIBR.LOS vs Kingzone (BO1) - Esports World Cup Play-In Group BMIBR.LOS | sell | 1 | $0.600 | $0.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 5.5Over | sell | 2.1 | $0.440 | $0.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Valur Reykjavik vs. Stjarnan Gardabae: O/U 3.5Under | sell | 1 | $0.530 | $0.53 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 FCSB vs. FCV Farul Constanţa: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 2.8 | $0.660 | $1.85 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ODI Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs BahrainKenya | sell | 2.6 | $0.570 | $1.48 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| ODI Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs BahrainKenya | sell | 1.7 | $0.340 | $0.58 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 5.5Under | sell | 3.5 | $0.900 | $3.15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.440 | $0.92 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes | sell | 1 | $0.070 | $0.07 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-02?Yes | sell | 2.9 | $0.700 | $2.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 172.5Over | sell | 1 | $0.410 | $0.41 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Club Always Ready vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.590 | $1.3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 4.2 | $0.860 | $3.61 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will FK Partizan Belgrade win on 2026-08-02?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.620 | $0.87 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No | sell | 2.8 | $0.650 | $1.82 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.500 | $0.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.334 | $0.43 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?Yes | sell | 2.2 | $0.564 | $1.24 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 2?Yes | sell | 2.29 | $0.540 | $1.24 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers | sell | 1.2 | $0.260 | $0.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers | sell | 1 | $0.390 | $0.39 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| BNB Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ETUp | sell | 2.7 | $0.660 | $1.78 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.360 | $0.36 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Under | sell | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.390 | $0.59 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?No | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.670 | $0.94 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.640 | $0.96 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Over | sell | 1.7 | $0.590 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Charleston Battery vs. Brooklyn FC: O/U 4.5Under | sell | 1.6 | $0.450 | $0.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?No | sell | 4.09 | $0.910 | $3.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 | sell | 1 | $0.520 | $0.52 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?No | sell | 1 | $0.240 | $0.24 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 1?Yes | sell | 1.8 | $0.500 | $0.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1?Yes | sell | 2.6 | $0.610 | $1.59 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Yangon Galacticos vs Team Spirit (BO7) - Mid Season Cup PlayoffsTeam Spirit | sell | 1.9 | $0.500 | $0.95 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Cardiff City vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under | sell | 1 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |