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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.997 | $1.39 | Oct 26, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.54 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.54 |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.987 | $3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.968 | $2.3 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| buy | 1.24 | $0.933 | $1.16 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | Oct 26, 2025 |
HasanAbi arrested by October 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.992 | $1.21 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.998 | $1.15 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.998 | $1.11 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 14m?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.967 | $2.1 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 4.14 | $0.966 | $4 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.962 | $1.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.940 | $1.18 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.985 | $2.31 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.45 | $0.954 | $2.34 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.949 | $4 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.931 | $5.78 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.958 | $5.76 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 6.84 | $0.950 | $6.5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Aug 12, 2025 |
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.003 | $1.8 | Jul 27, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.34 | $0.956 | $5.11 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.986 | $5.06 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.976 | $5.08 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.971 | $4.95 | Jul 27, 2025 |
China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.979 | $5.29 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.969 | $5.04 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.951 | $5.6 | May 31, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.971 | $5.5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.018 | $19.49 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.015 | $18.27 | Nov 20, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.23K | $0.488 | $1.09K | Oct 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.493 | $1.1K | Oct 5, 2024 |