Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 13.53 | $0.998 | $13.52 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.53 | $0.998 | $13.5 | 22d ago |
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| buy |
| 520.07 |
| $0.003 |
| $1.39 |
| 22d ago |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?Yes | buy | 134.13 | $0.999 | $134 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 134.13 | $0.999 | $134 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?No | buy | 134.13 | $0.999 | $134 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 134.13 | $0.999 | $134 | May 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?No | buy | 134.4 | $0.997 | $134 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.002 | $3.88 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?Yes | buy | 138.14 | $0.999 | $138 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.003 | $4.5 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 142.14 | $0.999 | $142 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.002 | $3.23 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?Yes | buy | 145.15 | $0.999 | $145 | May 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?No | buy | 145.15 | $0.999 | $145 | May 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 145.15 | $0.999 | $145 | May 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?Yes | buy | 145.15 | $0.999 | $145 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.004 | $4.85 | May 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?Yes | buy | 145.12 | $0.999 | $144.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 142.13 | $0.999 | $141.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 145.13 | $0.999 | $144.99 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.997 | $1.16 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 14?Yes | buy | 147.13 | $0.999 | $146.98 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 146.13 | $0.999 | $145.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 9?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.997 | $1.12 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.997 | $1.23 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 149.15 | $0.999 | $149 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 138.14 | $0.999 | $138 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 26?Yes | buy | 145.14 | $0.999 | $145 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.002 | $4.65 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21?Yes | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 11?Yes | buy | 154.15 | $0.999 | $154 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 5?Yes | buy | 150.15 | $0.999 | $150 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.988 | $1.15 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?No | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 161.25 | $0.998 | $160.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 158.16 | $0.999 | $158 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.996 | $1.3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Countdown App be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.990 | $1.18 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 160.66 | $0.999 | $160.5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 160.16 | $0.999 | $160 | Feb 1, 2026 |