Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.210 | $9.52 | -$0.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 55.56 |
| $0.270 |
| $9.17 |
| -$5.83 |
 H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.150 | $4.33 | -$5.67 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.180 | $3.12 | -$11.88 |
 Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? | Yes | 42 | $0.238 | $3.02 | -$6.98 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.130 | $2.12 | -$2.88 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 778.19 | $0.032 | $1.95 | -$23.05 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.075 | $1.7 | -$3.3 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.105 | $0.86 | -$4.14 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $0.76 | -$1.24 |
| buy |
| 11.76 |
| $0.170 |
| $2 |
| May 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | May 15, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.075 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 48.9 | $0.041 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.105 | $5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.360 | $15 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.820 | $14.14 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.230 | $1.17 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?No | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?No | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.481 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.196 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?No | buy | 19.06 | $0.525 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.238 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Quintavius "Q" Burdette be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?No | buy | 9.74 | $0.513 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will "The Bride!" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will "The Bride!" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 14.2 | $0.352 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei tweet again by March 9, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?No | buy | 14.39 | $0.570 | $8.2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Yes | buy | 23.38 | $0.428 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.043 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?No | buy | 37.14 | $0.081 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?No | buy | 85.21 | $0.059 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |