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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 179.81 | $0.264 | $60.24 | +$12.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.283 | $5.66 | 12d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 93.41 |
| $0.268 |
| $49.46 |
| +$24.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 68.97 | $0.290 | $41.03 | +$21.03 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 297.86 | $0.101 | $39.17 | +$9.17 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 54.05 | $0.370 | $31.08 | +$11.08 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 75.78 | $0.269 | $27.92 | +$7.53 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 65 | $0.325 | $27.2 | +$6.07 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | Yes | 72 | $0.280 | $26.06 | +$5.94 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | Yes | 131.37 | $0.084 | $23.71 | +$12.71 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 65.78 | $0.167 | $23.68 | +$12.73 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 24.09 | $0.380 | $15.29 | +$6.14 |
| buy |
| 54.05 |
| $0.370 |
| $20 |
| 13d ago |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Yes | sell | 43.78 | $0.293 | $12.83 | 13d ago |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | sell | 118.55 | $0.080 | $9.48 | 13d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.268 | $7.24 | 13d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.78 | $0.259 | $2.02 | 13d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 13d ago |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 297.86 | $0.101 | $30 | 13d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.471 | $14.13 | 13d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.510 | $17.85 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 72.23 | $0.310 | $22.39 | 18d ago |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | sell | 118.55 | $0.070 | $8.33 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.279 | $14.51 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.270 | $24.03 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.281 | $5.62 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 91.36 | $0.109 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | sell | 79.03 | $0.190 | $15.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 104.24 | $0.015 | $1.56 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 157.33 | $0.010 | $1.57 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Yes | buy | 175.15 | $0.084 | $14.67 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | sell | 156.8 | $0.103 | $16.19 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.227 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | buy | 15.64 | $0.130 | $2.03 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 83.84 | $0.004 | $0.34 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 104.25 | $0.048 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | sell | 141.43 | $0.222 | $31.39 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.74 | $0.268 | $14.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 157.34 | $0.032 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 33.5 | $0.441 | $14.79 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 33.5 | $0.442 | $14.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.380 | $26.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.488 | $30.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 83.83 | $0.119 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 50.93 | $0.204 | $10.41 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.874 | $43.69 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 31.44 | $0.520 | $16.35 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.073 | $3.65 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 76.99 | $0.010 | $0.77 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | sell | 112.11 | $0.151 | $16.92 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | sell | 89.34 | $0.180 | $16.08 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting?Yes | sell | 36.97 | $0.006 | $0.22 | May 7, 2026 |