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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 829.15 | $0.950 | $787.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 89 |
| $0.630 |
| $56.07 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.930 | $1.5K | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.930 | $1.77K | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 2.62K | $0.999 | $2.61K | May 6, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 130.01 | $0.969 | $125.98 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.993 | $1.2K | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 969.66 | $0.993 | $962.87 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 399 | $0.937 | $373.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.958 | $57.48 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 330.78 | $0.925 | $305.91 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 404.9 | $0.965 | $390.72 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.942 | $37.68 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 68.84 | $0.982 | $67.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.980 | $35.28 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.974 | $46.75 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 3.46K | $0.882 | $3.05K | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.997 | $3.05K | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 1.86K | $0.945 | $1.76K | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 409 | $0.978 | $400 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.25 | $0.985 | $87.91 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.984 | $14.76 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 424 | $0.978 | $414.66 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.975 | $195 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.3 | $0.991 | $106.33 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.950 | $1.2K | Feb 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 797.49 | $0.999 | $796.69 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | buy | 796.7 | $0.999 | $795.9 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 795.9 | $0.990 | $787.94 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 764 | $0.992 | $757.89 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.66K | $0.825 | $1.37K | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 275.38 | $0.880 | $242.23 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.870 | $23.49 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by January 31?No | buy | 263 | $0.975 | $256.42 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 209.75 | $0.988 | $207.23 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 30.97 | $0.965 | $29.89 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 288.19 | $0.964 | $277.82 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 431 | $0.966 | $416.35 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 92.49 | $0.965 | $89.25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 980 | $0.900 | $882 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 34.19 | $0.992 | $33.91 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 102 | $0.990 | $100.97 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 56.07 | $0.890 | $49.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.890 | $1.7K | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?No | buy | 83 | $0.970 | $80.51 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?No | buy | 900 | $0.970 | $873 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?No | buy | 267 | $0.992 | $264.86 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 40.11 | $0.989 | $39.67 | Dec 23, 2025 |