Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 24.39 | $0.410 | $20.37 | +$10.37 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 19.23 |
| $0.520 |
| $9.04 |
| -$0.96 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.96 | +$0.38 |
| buy |
| 19.23 |
| $0.520 |
| $10 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.730 | $5.21 | 7d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 in August?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | 13d ago |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 19d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.710 | $2.36 | 20d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 9.53 | $0.800 | $7.62 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | 27d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.540 | $2.29 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?Down | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.3 | $0.690 | $5.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.510 | $1.56 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.500 | $2.04 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.660 | $2.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.780 | $4.74 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.570 | $2.03 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.550 | $5.04 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?No | buy | 3 | $0.540 | $1.62 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.260 | $3.38 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 40.16 | $0.249 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |